Sometimes a party leader finds themselves trapped in a cycle of missteps, gaffes and controversies that overshadow everything else on the campaign trail.
We saw that happen to BC NDP leader Bob Skelly in 1986, Social Credit leader Rita Johnston in 1991, BC Liberal leader Gordon Campbell in 1996 and BC NDP leader Ujjal Dosanjh in 2001.
And that is precisely the kind of trap BC Liberal leader Andrew Wilkinson finds himself in right now and there is precious little time left in the campaign to escape
Nearly every day on the campaign has put Wilkinson on the defensive as various controversies derail his attempts to change the channel to something more positive.
Whether it is explaining why one of his candidates voted against a rainbow Pride crosswalk or why he was chuckling at sexist comments on a Zoom chat or why another candidate had to be turfed from his party, Wilkinson has had more down days than up ones.
However, it is how he has dealt with these controversies (or, to be more accurate, how he has “not” dealt with them) appears to be raising question about his leadership from within his own party. This does not bode well for his long-term leadership prospects.
When video surfaced of that Zoom chat showing North Vancouver-Seymour MLA Jane Thornthwaite making sexist comments about Bowinn Ma, the NDP MLA for North Vancouver-Lonsdale, Wilkinson was slow to respond.
He waited more than two days before taking questions about the incident. He then threw Thornthwaite under the proverbial bus, using harsh language to condemn her behaviour.
His treatment of her stood in stark contrast to his inaction when it came to Chilliwack-Kent MLA Laurie Throness, who has for years been linked to homophobic views.
Throness was caught in another Zoom chat linking contraception to eugenics and Wilkinson waited until after it became apparent on social media that an internal revolt amongst some of his candidates – including sitting MLAs – before taking action.
It was all too much for party convention chair Nicole Paul, who unleased a long Twitter thread criticizing Wilkinson’s handling of diversity-related issues. She said the party under Wilkinson’s leadership “no longer reflects the values I support.”
Aside from raising questions about Wilkinson’s leadership, these episodes (and others) have exposed a couple of glaring weaknesses about the BC Liberal party.
One is that it remains rooted in the past and has yet to renew itself along more diverse – ethnic, gender and age – lines that better reflect the demographic makeup of the electorate, particularly in Metro Vancouver. If, for example, the BC Liberals lose their Richmond seats – where their candidates are diverse on a number of levels – that would be an unmitigated disaster for them.
The other is that its tolerance and even embracement of social conservativism in order to hold political power carries enormous risk.
Rita Johnston and the Socreds discovered that and things ended badly for them. Unless something dramatically changes, between now and election day Wilkinson and the BC Liberals could face the same fate.
Keith Baldrey is chief political reporter for Global BC.